Peak Oil, Super Spike, Fracking, Baby Boomers and Telecommuting


A client wants Cappy’s opinion on peak oil and the price of oil in the future.
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  1. the Baby Boomers are kind of like being constipated with a huge turd. It hurts a lot right now, and is very uncomfortable, but eventually the turd will pass, and we can all get up off the toilet seat and go rebuild this country. But nothing at all can get done right now while we are constipated with baby boomers.

  2. The future of telecommuting will hopefully change the educational paradigm as well. With the rise and evolution of the web, homeschooling becomes a much more viable option. No schools to warehouse children while indoctrinating them rather than educating them, no school buses, no buildings to maintain.

  3. The mess in Venezuela is a big reason for the current (modest) rise in oil prices. If things were straight there, we’d still probably be chillin at $2/gal and $50/bbl. plenty of oil to go around. Fracking was huge, and the tech keeps getting better indeed!

  4. Concerning the higher gas prices, let's not forget how worth-less the federal reserve note has become. I remember when I started driving (1981) and how the lamestream media completely freaked out when gas hit $1 per gallon. Hmmmm. Let's see. What is the ratio of federal reserve dollars back then as compared to now? 6 to 1? 7 to 1? 5 to 1? 8 to 1?

  5. How about those trillions of barrels of oil just laying around all over the earth. In fact, they are becoming an environmental hazard. Plastic. There are approx. 20 plants in Europe which make diesel fuel from trash plastic. Not only that, there are youtube videos of folks making diesel fuel from trash plastic in rural areas in Amerika. Just think of all the landfills we could clear out along with that island of floating trash in the ocean. It's all just free diesel.

  6. Fracker here.

    The drill rig and production side is very small compared to what frack side uses. Each piece of equipment is brought in on semi-trailers. 8-14 pumps (plus a few more for pump down if you're using wireline), a blender (sometimes 2), chem add/soft side/working floats, ISO tanks, a Hydro unit (if not slick water) sometimes a gel boat, QC, the Data Van, Sand T-Belts and/or Sand Kings, iron trucks to carry the pipes, hose trailers and a few others.

    Now, that's for the frac crew ourselves: Next you've got support we need: Wire Line to perf the concrete down hole to frac different stages, flowback for if we screen out or something messes up and we need to get the product we put down hole out of the well, Water transfer: we use 70-120 barrels a minute, fracking about an hour a stage for 48+ stages per well, usually a few wells on any given pad. The fuel guys who go around to fuel all the equipment, and a natural gas company for the few pieces of equipment that require it.

    Now, the real land lease isn't the pad, but the road used to drive equipment and personnel to site and back. The pumps we drive up can weigh over 100k lbs, and you don't want a half assed road created on the land, and if the terrain isn't flat, you've gotta zig zag that stuff, not just for the frac equipment, but for the sand haulers who sit out on the service road in the rain and continually driver over it. And god forbid if it's a long way into the property.